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<p>Not necessarily, but the weather has postponed both harvest of
last years crops and this years planting. The wet cold weather
has planting of corn and soybeans behind by at least 2 weeks. The
cold ground will delay sprouting also. This will put the growing
season into the usual harvest time and then planting is delayed
again. This will raise grain prices. The massive cold in the
winter has put a lot of wheat behind the curve also. The ground
was so cold when we started last year, that no-till acres were
really behind. There are a lot of no-till farmers now, and
no-till creates a much cooler soil temp. Last summer was humid,
but not as hot as usual. Then we have this never ending winter.
Agriculture is going to take a hit this year from the weather.
Then Nitrogen Fertilizer here is $545/ton for 46-0-0. Last fall
it was $250. At the rate I usually apply Fertilizer, it was
$34/acre for fertilizer. Add in the $20/acre for seed, and the
$16/acre last fall for fertilizer. That is $70/acre before we
get anything in a bale. For me there was no winter wheat pasture,
so all I will get is hay. We usually get 2 bales/ acre. So I
have $35/bale in crop inputs. The going rate for cutting and
baling is $25/bale. I have not figured what it costs me, so I
just go with the custom rate. So I have $60/bale in the hay I get
off my wheat field if I can get it in the bale.... It looks like
this year we will be very lucky to get 1 bale per acre. If we get
rain in the next week, there is a possibility that the fertilizer
will kick off and get some growth. a lot of the seed I sowed last
fall is just now coming up. This is what i was referring to when
I said the ground was cold.. It was also very dry at sowing time
last fall...</p>
<p>Cecil</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 4/23/2021 8:34 AM, cgs wrote:<br>
</div>
<blockquote type="cite"
cite="mid:039b9abc-c218-f6a4-543d-5fb5c8cfe65e@gmail.com">
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<font size="+2">Are we near the fringe of 'survival', as where a
farmer has to eat next year's seeds to stay alive?</font><br>
<br>
<div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 4/23/21 9:12 AM, Stephen Offiler
wrote:<br>
</div>
<blockquote type="cite"
cite="mid:CAP6upcjytcc7Q2T9EfyhO8Tr-4SaerbAwwHArObOiZgTT1P9PA@mail.gmail.com">
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<div dir="ltr">I can see where you'd call it greed, and I am not
necessarily disagreeing with you, Bo, but there's a lot of
moving parts here.
<div><br>
</div>
<div>Look at it from the standpoint of the family that owns
the local lumber yard. They have bills to pay - maybe the
yard still has a mortgage, and there's electricity, payroll,
benefits, taxes, etc. They probably do OK when business is
normal, say there's a million board feet going out the door
at $1/bdft, so they bring in a million dollars. Point is
that most of it goes to paying those bills I just
mentioned. But what about now? There is a lumber
shortage. They can't get lumber as easily any more. They
might be able to move only half a million board feet, but
those bills are still there, so they need to put the price
up to $2/bd ft to bring in a million dollars to pay the
bills.</div>
<div><br>
</div>
<div>SO</div>
<div><br>
</div>
</div>
<br>
<div class="gmail_quote">
<div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">On Fri, Apr 23, 2021 at 8:59
AM Bo Hinch <<a href="mailto:bohinch@gmail.com"
moz-do-not-send="true">bohinch@gmail.com</a>> wrote:<br>
</div>
<blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px 0px
0.8ex;border-left:1px solid
rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex">
<div dir="ltr">I don't necessarily agree with what the video
is representing . In my area ( Sulphur Louisiana ) ,
lumber prices doubled and sometimes tripled from one week
till the next week . It can be blamed on hurricanes ,
which we went through back to back last year , or forest
fires last year but my thoughts are people being
greedy and ripping us off and there is NOTHING we can do
except pay the price , or , do without . Same thing with
the steel building components , prices tripled with-in two
weeks . Just my opinion of how we are being taken
advantage of .</div>
<br>
<div class="gmail_quote">
<div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">On Thu, Apr 22, 2021 at
11:36 PM Roger Moffat <<a
href="mailto:rogerkiwi@gmail.com" target="_blank"
moz-do-not-send="true">rogerkiwi@gmail.com</a>>
wrote:<br>
</div>
<blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px 0px
0.8ex;border-left:1px solid
rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex">
<div>Saw this on Facebook this evening - seems to sum up
the situation
<div><br>
</div>
<div><img
id="gmail-m_1172525704736813746gmail-m_-5848790146589396022175A7529-FE06-4997-8012-F5CF4BF08A6D"
src="cid:part3.12B273DD.67BD88BF@copper.net"
class="" width="540" height="543"><br>
<br>
<blockquote type="cite">On Apr 22, 2021, at 4:42 AM,
Stephen Offiler <<a
href="mailto:soffiler@gmail.com" target="_blank"
moz-do-not-send="true">soffiler@gmail.com</a>>
wrote:<br>
<br>
I happened across this video just a few days ago.
Several factors, but the central theme boils down
to basic supply and demand.<br>
<br>
<a href="https://youtu.be/3Ssa7yooX3k"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true">https://youtu.be/3Ssa7yooX3k</a><br>
<br>
SO<br>
<br>
<br>
On Wed, Apr 21, 2021 at 11:03 PM John Maddock <<a
href="mailto:agtronixjv@bigpond.com"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true">agtronixjv@bigpond.com</a>>
wrote:<br>
Supply and demand ? Maybe!<br>
<br>
<a
href="https://www.timberbiz.com.au/us-lumber-prices-soar-demand-is-high-but-stumpage-is-static/"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.timberbiz.com.au/us-lumber-prices-soar-demand-is-high-but-stumpage-is-static/</a><br>
<br>
JV<br>
<br>
<br>
<br>
<br>
<br>
------ Original Message ------<br>
From: "Mike M" <<a
href="mailto:meulenms@gmx.com" target="_blank"
moz-do-not-send="true">meulenms@gmx.com</a>><br>
To: "Antique tractor email discussion group" <br>
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target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true">at@lists.antique-tractor.com</a>><br>
Sent: Thursday, 22 Apr, 2021 At 12:18 PM<br>
Subject: [AT] Lumber prices<br>
<br>
What the heck is going on with lumber prices? I
needed a sheet of OSB<br>
which was once $10 a is now $35 a sheet?<br>
<br>
<br>
Mike M<br>
<br>
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