<html><head><meta http-equiv="content-type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"></head><body dir="auto">Ha! With a billion tractors I’m pretty sure I could find a way to move the Atlantic Ocean. (-;<br><br><div dir="ltr">Sent from my iPhone</div><div dir="ltr"><br><blockquote type="cite">On Mar 28, 2020, at 2:49 AM, Mattias Kessén <davidbrown950@gmail.com> wrote:<br><br></blockquote></div><blockquote type="cite"><div dir="ltr"><div dir="auto">How many ships will you need to Bring me my tractors? 😀<div dir="auto">Stay safe and at home.</div></div><br><div class="gmail_quote"><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">Den lör 28 mars 2020 05:47Spencer Yost <<a href="mailto:spencer@rdfarms.com">spencer@rdfarms.com</a>> skrev:<br></div><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex">I just recently heard this and thought I had heard something new and interesting. Turns out it is an old trope used to explain exponential growth - a phrase we heard a thousand times this month regarding the pandemic. But what does exponential growth really look like? <br>
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Let’s say I promise to give you 1 million antique tractors. Or I could give you one antique tractor today, then two tomorrow, and four the next day, and so on doubling them every day for a month. Just a month that’s all. Which one would you take? Most would grab the million.<br>
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But that’s the wrong route: You would have over *1 billion* antique tractors by the end of the month if you chose the later.(2 raised to the 30th power -1). Trust me, If this ever happens I will be smart enough to offer you the deal on February 1 :-)<br>
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And that’s the lesson today for understanding exponential growth - something that has relevance in many biological phenomenon: Whether it’s duckweed on a pond or viruses in the pandemic. Puts into perspective why social distancing and staying at home is so important.<br>
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So everyone be safe and stay socially isolated in our shops working on tractors!<br>
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Hope all is well with everyone,<br>
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<br>
Spencer <br>
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Sent from my iPhone<br>
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