[AT] Better build a bigger shed

[szabelski at wildblue.net]

How many pole barns would you need to store 1 billion tractors?

Carl


----- Original Message -----
From: Spencer Yost <spencer at rdfarms.com>
To: Antique Tractor Email Discussion Group <at at lists.antique-tractor.com>
Sent: Sat, 28 Mar 2020 09:24:06 -0400 (EDT)
Subject: Re: [AT] Better build a bigger shed

Ha!   With a billion tractors I’m pretty sure I could find a way to move the Atlantic Ocean. (-;

Sent from my iPhone

> On Mar 28, 2020, at 2:49 AM, Mattias Kessén <davidbrown950 at gmail.com> wrote:
> 
> 
> How many ships will you need to Bring me my tractors? 😀
> Stay safe and at home.
> 
> Den lör 28 mars 2020 05:47Spencer Yost <spencer at rdfarms.com> skrev:
>> I just recently heard this and thought I had heard something new and interesting.   Turns out it is an old trope used to explain exponential growth -  a phrase we heard a thousand times this month regarding the pandemic.  But what does exponential growth really look like? 
>> 
>> Let’s say I promise to give you 1 million antique tractors. Or I could give you one antique tractor today, then two tomorrow, and four the next day, and so on doubling them every day for a month. Just a month that’s all. Which one would you take?  Most would grab the million.
>> 
>> But that’s the wrong route:  You would have over *1 billion* antique tractors by the end of the month if you chose the later.(2 raised to the 30th power -1).   Trust me, If this ever happens I will be smart enough to offer you the deal on February 1 :-)
>> 
>> And that’s the lesson today for understanding exponential growth - something that has relevance in many biological phenomenon:  Whether it’s duckweed on a pond or viruses in the pandemic. Puts into perspective why social distancing and staying at home is so important.
>> 
>> So everyone be safe and stay socially isolated in our shops working on tractors!
>> 
>> Hope all is well with everyone,
>> 
>> 
>> Spencer 
>> 
>> Sent from my iPhone
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