[AT] Better build a bigger shed

Indiana Robinson robinson46176 at gmail.com
Sat Mar 28 04:54:06 PDT 2020


I believe this can also relate to how fast a building can fill up with crap
or how fast a workbench top can become deeply covered...  :-)

Some, these days are hoarding toilet paper or food. I continue to hoard
useless crap of very little value...

Dang I wish that it would quit raining for a while...


.

On Sat, Mar 28, 2020 at 6:56 AM Stephen Offiler <soffiler at gmail.com> wrote:

> There's another illustration of exponential growth I've heard several
> times, although this one doesn't cleverly involve antique tractors ;-)
>
> You are handcuffed to a bleacher seat in the highest reaches of Yankee
> Stadium (also heard Fenway, doesn't matter, pick your favorite ballpark).
> At noon, a drop of water is placed on home plate. At 12:01pm, two drops.
> At 12:02pm, four drops.  At 12:03pm, 8 drops. Double the number of drops of
> water each minute.  How long before you drown?  People guess in the days,
> weeks, even months.  The answer is 12:49pm.
>
> SO
>
> On Sat, Mar 28, 2020 at 12:47 AM Spencer Yost <spencer at rdfarms.com> wrote:
>
>> I just recently heard this and thought I had heard something new and
>> interesting.   Turns out it is an old trope used to explain exponential
>> growth -  a phrase we heard a thousand times this month regarding the
>> pandemic.  But what does exponential growth really look like?
>>
>> Let’s say I promise to give you 1 million antique tractors. Or I could
>> give you one antique tractor today, then two tomorrow, and four the next
>> day, and so on doubling them every day for a month. Just a month that’s
>> all. Which one would you take?  Most would grab the million.
>>
>> But that’s the wrong route:  You would have over *1 billion* antique
>> tractors by the end of the month if you chose the later.(2 raised to the
>> 30th power -1).   Trust me, If this ever happens I will be smart enough to
>> offer you the deal on February 1 :-)
>>
>> And that’s the lesson today for understanding exponential growth -
>> something that has relevance in many biological phenomenon:  Whether it’s
>> duckweed on a pond or viruses in the pandemic. Puts into perspective why
>> social distancing and staying at home is so important.
>>
>> So everyone be safe and stay socially isolated in our shops working on
>> tractors!
>>
>> Hope all is well with everyone,
>>
>>
>> Spencer
>>
>> Sent from my iPhone
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>>
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-- 
-- 

Francis Robinson
aka "farmer"
Central Indiana USA
robinson46176 at gmail.com
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